Module 11 · Financial Risk and Performance Statistics Lesson 107 of 120
Beta and Market-Relative Risk
Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk.
Transcript
18 sentences · select one to jump thereCheck your understanding
Does beta near zero imply no risk?
Code lab
Run it yourself
The lesson source in 7 languages. Edit it, run TypeScript and Python right here, and compare with the expected output.
/**
* Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 107 of 120
* Beta and Market-Relative Risk
* Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
*
* Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
* Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
*
* Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
*
* Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
* Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
* Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
*/
export function lesson107() {
const market=[-.02,-.01,0,.01,.02];
const asset=market.map(r=>1.5*r);
const avg=(a:number[])=>a.reduce((s,x)=>s+x,0)/a.length;
const ma=avg(asset),mm=avg(market);
const cov=asset.reduce((s,r,i)=>s+(r-ma)*(market[i]-mm),0)/(asset.length-1);
const varM=market.reduce((s,r)=>s+(r-mm)**2,0)/(market.length-1);
if(varM<=0) throw new Error("Market variance must be positive");
const result={beta:cov/varM,asset};
return result;
}
export const checkedResult = {"beta":1.4999999999999998,"asset":[-0.03,-0.015,0,0.015,0.03]};
// Run this file directly: npx tsx lessons/11-financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/107-beta-and-market-relative-risk.ts
if (process.argv[1] && import.meta.url.endsWith(process.argv[1].replace(/\\/g, "/").split("/").pop()!)) {
console.log(JSON.stringify(lesson107(), null, 2));
}
Your output
Press Run to execute the code in your browser.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}# Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 107 of 120
# Beta and Market-Relative Risk
# Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
#
# Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
# Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
#
# Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
#
# Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
# Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
# Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
#
# Run: python main.py
import json
def lesson_107():
market = [-0.02, -0.01, 0.0, 0.01, 0.02]
asset = [1.5 * r for r in market]
def avg(a):
total = 0.0
for x in a:
total += x
return total / len(a)
ma, mm = avg(asset), avg(market)
cov = 0.0
for i, r in enumerate(asset):
cov += (r - ma) * (market[i] - mm)
cov /= len(asset) - 1
var_m = 0.0
for r in market:
var_m += (r - mm) ** 2
var_m /= len(market) - 1
if var_m <= 0:
raise ValueError("Market variance must be positive")
return {"beta": cov / var_m, "asset": asset}
if __name__ == "__main__":
print(json.dumps(lesson_107(), indent=2))
Your output
Press Run to execute the code in your browser.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}/*
* Fintech Math Bootcamp - Lesson 107 of 120
* Beta and Market-Relative Risk
* Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
*
* Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
* Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
*
* Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
*
* Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
* Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
* Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
*
* Run: javac Main.java && java Main
*/
import java.util.*;
public class Main {
static double avg(double[] a) {
double s = 0;
for (double x : a) s += x;
return s / a.length;
}
static Map<String, Object> lesson107() {
double[] market = {-.02, -.01, 0, .01, .02};
double[] asset = new double[market.length];
for (int i = 0; i < market.length; i++) asset[i] = 1.5 * market[i];
double ma = avg(asset), mm = avg(market);
double cov = 0, varM = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < asset.length; i++) cov += (asset[i] - ma) * (market[i] - mm);
cov /= asset.length - 1;
for (double r : market) varM += Math.pow(r - mm, 2);
varM /= market.length - 1;
if (varM <= 0) throw new IllegalArgumentException("Market variance must be positive");
return obj("beta", cov / varM, "asset", list(asset));
}
public static void main(String[] args) {
System.out.println(toJson(lesson107(), ""));
}
// Minimal JSON writer: insertion-ordered Map, List, Number, Boolean, String and null.
static String toJson(Object value, String indent) {
if (value == null) return "null";
if (value instanceof String) return quote((String) value);
if (value instanceof Boolean) return value.toString();
if (value instanceof Double) return formatNumber((Double) value);
if (value instanceof Number) return value.toString();
String inner = indent + " ";
StringBuilder sb = new StringBuilder();
if (value instanceof Map) {
Map<?, ?> map = (Map<?, ?>) value;
if (map.isEmpty()) return "{}";
sb.append("{\n");
int i = 0;
for (Map.Entry<?, ?> e : map.entrySet()) {
sb.append(inner).append(quote(e.getKey().toString())).append(": ").append(toJson(e.getValue(), inner));
sb.append(++i < map.size() ? ",\n" : "\n");
}
return sb.append(indent).append("}").toString();
}
List<?> list = (List<?>) value;
if (list.isEmpty()) return "[]";
sb.append("[\n");
for (int i = 0; i < list.size(); i++) {
sb.append(inner).append(toJson(list.get(i), inner)).append(i + 1 < list.size() ? ",\n" : "\n");
}
return sb.append(indent).append("]").toString();
}
// Integral doubles print without ".0", as JavaScript does; others use Java's round-trip form.
static String formatNumber(double x) {
if (x == Math.rint(x) && Math.abs(x) < 1e15) return Long.toString((long) x);
return Double.toString(x);
}
static String quote(String s) {
StringBuilder sb = new StringBuilder("\"");
for (char c : s.toCharArray()) {
if (c == '"' || c == '\\') sb.append('\\').append(c);
else if (c < 0x20) sb.append(String.format("\\u%04x", (int) c));
else sb.append(c);
}
return sb.append('"').toString();
}
// Builds an insertion-ordered object from alternating keys and values.
static Map<String, Object> obj(Object... keysAndValues) {
Map<String, Object> map = new LinkedHashMap<String, Object>();
for (int i = 0; i < keysAndValues.length; i += 2) map.put((String) keysAndValues[i], keysAndValues[i + 1]);
return map;
}
static List<Object> list(double... values) {
List<Object> out = new ArrayList<Object>();
for (double v : values) out.add(v);
return out;
}
}
No browser runner for Java yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 107 of 120
// Beta and Market-Relative Risk
// Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
//
// Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
// Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
//
// Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
//
// Run: go run main.go
package main
import (
"encoding/json"
"fmt"
"math"
)
type Result struct {
Beta float64 `json:"beta"`
Asset []float64 `json:"asset"`
}
func avg(a []float64) float64 {
s := 0.0
for _, x := range a {
s += x
}
return s / float64(len(a))
}
func lesson107() Result {
market := []float64{-.02, -.01, 0, .01, .02}
asset := make([]float64, len(market))
for i, r := range market {
asset[i] = 1.5 * r
}
ma, mm := avg(asset), avg(market)
cov, varM := 0.0, 0.0
for i, r := range asset {
cov += (r - ma) * (market[i] - mm)
}
cov /= float64(len(asset) - 1)
for _, r := range market {
varM += math.Pow(r-mm, 2)
}
varM /= float64(len(market) - 1)
if varM <= 0 {
panic("Market variance must be positive")
}
return Result{Beta: cov / varM, Asset: asset}
}
func main() {
out, err := json.MarshalIndent(lesson107(), "", " ")
if err != nil {
panic(err)
}
fmt.Println(string(out))
}
No browser runner for Go yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 107 of 120
// Beta and Market-Relative Risk
// Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
//
// Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
// Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
//
// Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
//
// Run: g++ -std=c++17 -O1 -o lesson main.cpp && ./lesson
#include <algorithm>
#include <charconv>
#include <cmath>
#include <cstdint>
#include <cstdio>
#include <deque>
#include <iostream>
#include <limits>
#include <map>
#include <optional>
#include <stdexcept>
#include <string>
#include <utility>
#include <variant>
#include <vector>
// Minimal JSON value: objects keep insertion order; numbers print in shortest round-trip form.
struct Json {
enum class Kind { Null, Bool, Number, String, Array, Object };
Kind kind = Kind::Null;
bool flag = false;
double number = 0.0;
std::string text;
std::vector<std::string> keys; // object keys, parallel to items
std::vector<Json> items; // array items, or object values
};
Json jnull() { return Json{}; }
Json jbool(bool value) { Json j; j.kind = Json::Kind::Bool; j.flag = value; return j; }
Json jnum(double value) { Json j; j.kind = Json::Kind::Number; j.number = value; return j; }
Json jstr(const std::string& value) { Json j; j.kind = Json::Kind::String; j.text = value; return j; }
Json jarr(std::vector<Json> items) { Json j; j.kind = Json::Kind::Array; j.items = std::move(items); return j; }
Json jobj(std::vector<std::pair<std::string, Json>> fields) {
Json j;
j.kind = Json::Kind::Object;
for (auto& field : fields) {
j.keys.push_back(field.first);
j.items.push_back(std::move(field.second));
}
return j;
}
Json jnums(const std::vector<double>& values) {
std::vector<Json> items;
for (double v : values) items.push_back(jnum(v));
return jarr(std::move(items));
}
Json jnums(const std::vector<std::optional<double>>& values) {
std::vector<Json> items;
for (const auto& v : values) items.push_back(v ? jnum(*v) : jnull());
return jarr(std::move(items));
}
std::string formatNumber(double value) {
char buffer[64];
auto result = std::to_chars(buffer, buffer + sizeof buffer, value); // shortest round-trip form
return std::string(buffer, result.ptr);
}
std::string quote(const std::string& text) {
std::string out = "\"";
for (char c : text) {
if (c == '"' || c == '\\') {
out += '\\';
out += c;
} else if (static_cast<unsigned char>(c) < 0x20) {
char buffer[8];
std::snprintf(buffer, sizeof buffer, "\\u%04x", static_cast<unsigned>(c));
out += buffer;
} else {
out += c;
}
}
return out + "\"";
}
void writeJson(std::ostream& out, const Json& value, const std::string& indent = "") {
const std::string inner = indent + " ";
switch (value.kind) {
case Json::Kind::Null: out << "null"; return;
case Json::Kind::Bool: out << (value.flag ? "true" : "false"); return;
case Json::Kind::Number: out << formatNumber(value.number); return;
case Json::Kind::String: out << quote(value.text); return;
case Json::Kind::Array:
case Json::Kind::Object: {
const bool isObject = value.kind == Json::Kind::Object;
if (value.items.empty()) {
out << (isObject ? "{}" : "[]");
return;
}
out << (isObject ? "{\n" : "[\n");
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < value.items.size(); ++i) {
out << inner;
if (isObject) out << quote(value.keys[i]) << ": ";
writeJson(out, value.items[i], inner);
out << (i + 1 < value.items.size() ? ",\n" : "\n");
}
out << indent << (isObject ? "}" : "]");
}
}
}
double avg(const std::vector<double>& a) {
double s = 0;
for (double x : a) s += x;
return s / static_cast<double>(a.size());
}
Json lesson107() {
const std::vector<double> market{-.02, -.01, 0, .01, .02};
std::vector<double> asset;
for (double r : market) asset.push_back(1.5 * r);
const double ma = avg(asset), mm = avg(market);
double cov = 0, varM = 0;
for (std::size_t i = 0; i < asset.size(); ++i) cov += (asset[i] - ma) * (market[i] - mm);
cov /= static_cast<double>(asset.size() - 1);
for (double r : market) varM += std::pow(r - mm, 2);
varM /= static_cast<double>(market.size() - 1);
if (varM <= 0) throw std::invalid_argument("Market variance must be positive");
return jobj({{"beta", jnum(cov / varM)}, {"asset", jnums(asset)}});
}
int main() {
writeJson(std::cout, lesson107());
std::cout << "\n";
return 0;
}
No browser runner for C++ yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 107 of 120
// Beta and Market-Relative Risk
// Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
//
// Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
// Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
//
// Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
//
// Run: rustc -O main.rs && ./main
#![allow(dead_code)]
/// Minimal JSON value; objects keep insertion order.
enum Json {
Null,
Bool(bool),
Num(f64),
Str(String),
Arr(Vec<Json>),
Obj(Vec<(String, Json)>),
}
fn obj(fields: Vec<(&str, Json)>) -> Json {
Json::Obj(fields.into_iter().map(|(k, v)| (k.to_string(), v)).collect())
}
fn nums(values: &[f64]) -> Json {
Json::Arr(values.iter().map(|&v| Json::Num(v)).collect())
}
fn optional_nums(values: &[Option<f64>]) -> Json {
Json::Arr(values.iter().map(|v| v.map_or(Json::Null, Json::Num)).collect())
}
fn quote(text: &str) -> String {
let mut out = String::from("\"");
for c in text.chars() {
match c {
'"' => out.push_str("\\\""),
'\\' => out.push_str("\\\\"),
c if (c as u32) < 0x20 => out.push_str(&format!("\\u{:04x}", c as u32)),
c => out.push(c),
}
}
out.push('"');
out
}
// Display for f64 prints the shortest string that round-trips, as JavaScript does.
fn write_json(value: &Json, indent: &str, out: &mut String) {
let inner = format!("{} ", indent);
match value {
Json::Null => out.push_str("null"),
Json::Bool(b) => out.push_str(if *b { "true" } else { "false" }),
Json::Num(n) => out.push_str(&format!("{}", n)),
Json::Str(s) => out.push_str("e(s)),
Json::Arr(items) if items.is_empty() => out.push_str("[]"),
Json::Obj(fields) if fields.is_empty() => out.push_str("{}"),
Json::Arr(items) => {
out.push_str("[\n");
for (i, item) in items.iter().enumerate() {
out.push_str(&inner);
write_json(item, &inner, out);
out.push_str(if i + 1 < items.len() { ",\n" } else { "\n" });
}
out.push_str(indent);
out.push(']');
}
Json::Obj(fields) => {
out.push_str("{\n");
for (i, (key, item)) in fields.iter().enumerate() {
out.push_str(&inner);
out.push_str("e(key));
out.push_str(": ");
write_json(item, &inner, out);
out.push_str(if i + 1 < fields.len() { ",\n" } else { "\n" });
}
out.push_str(indent);
out.push('}');
}
}
}
fn avg(a: &[f64]) -> f64 {
a.iter().fold(0.0, |s, x| s + x) / a.len() as f64
}
fn lesson_107() -> Json {
let market: [f64; 5] = [-0.02, -0.01, 0.0, 0.01, 0.02];
let asset: Vec<f64> = market.iter().map(|r| 1.5 * r).collect();
let (ma, mm) = (avg(&asset), avg(&market));
let cov = asset.iter().zip(market.iter()).fold(0.0, |s, (r, m)| s + (r - ma) * (m - mm))
/ (asset.len() - 1) as f64;
let var_m = market.iter().fold(0.0, |s, r| s + (r - mm).powi(2)) / (market.len() - 1) as f64;
assert!(var_m > 0.0, "Market variance must be positive");
obj(vec![("beta", Json::Num(cov / var_m)), ("asset", nums(&asset))])
}
fn main() {
let mut out = String::new();
write_json(&lesson_107(), "", &mut out);
println!("{}", out);
}
No browser runner for Rust yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}// Fintech Math Bootcamp · Lesson 107 of 120
// Beta and Market-Relative Risk
// Module 11: Financial Risk and Performance Statistics
//
// Scenario: Market sensitivity is not total portfolio risk
// Rule: beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)
//
// Try it: Does beta near zero imply no risk?
//
// Lesson article: https://thefintechbuilder.com/financial-mathematics-statistics-and-data-foundations/financial-risk-and-performance-statistics/beta-and-market-relative-risk/
// Free course: https://courses.thefintechbuilder.com
// Synthetic teaching example, not financial advice or a production library.
//
// Run: dotnet run
using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Globalization;
using System.Linq;
using System.Text.Encodings.Web;
using System.Text.Json;
var options = new JsonSerializerOptions { WriteIndented = true, Encoder = JavaScriptEncoder.UnsafeRelaxedJsonEscaping };
Console.WriteLine(JsonSerializer.Serialize(Lesson107(), options));
static object Lesson107()
{
double[] market = { -.02, -.01, 0, .01, .02 };
double[] asset = market.Select(r => 1.5 * r).ToArray();
double Avg(double[] a) => a.Aggregate(0.0, (s, x) => s + x) / a.Length;
double ma = Avg(asset), mm = Avg(market);
double cov = asset.Select((r, i) => (r, i)).Aggregate(0.0, (s, p) => s + (p.r - ma) * (market[p.i] - mm)) / (asset.Length - 1);
double varM = market.Aggregate(0.0, (s, r) => s + Math.Pow(r - mm, 2)) / (market.Length - 1);
if (varM <= 0) throw new InvalidOperationException("Market variance must be positive");
return new { beta = cov / varM, asset };
}
No browser runner for C# yet
Read the code here, then run it in your own toolchain or a ready-made cloud workspace.
Expected output
{
"beta": 1.4999999999999998,
"asset": [
-0.03,
-0.015,
0,
0.015,
0.03
]
}Prefer your own machine? Every file is in the course repository · open it in Codespaces.
Lesson notes
The rule
beta = Cov(asset,market)/Var(market)